For the first time since September 2008, oil prices rose to reach levels of over $ 110 a barrel, due to the continuing tensions in the Arab world and after a good indicator in the United States. On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of light sweet crude for May delivery finished 110.30 dollars, which was up $ 1.47 from the previous day. Libya is the 16th largest global producer of oil in the world. This one nation that has been in unrest for weeks now, was responsible for about 2 percent of world oil production, which is about 1,600,000 barrels per day.

Other major oil producers are also in turmoil. Both Yemen and Bahrain are big oil producers — but far smaller; Bahrain pumps approximately 45,000 barrels per day; and Yemen just 260,000.

And according to one gas price expert, Trilby Lundberg, gas prices at the pump could hit five dollars a gallon by Memorial Day. The Lundberg Survey, an independent research marketing group that focuses on the petroleum industry, reported on April 11th, that prices jumped 20 cents during a two week reporting period to a nationwide average of $3.76 a gallon.

Lundberg’s survey, showing gas prices on the increase and the harsh impact prices are having on American households from coast-to-coast, is concerning. Many are worried about how gas prices will influence the economic health of the country. If people pay more at the pump there will be less disposable income for them to share with the national retail community and that has them nervous about sustaining sales that will, in turn, push their earnings and the U.S. economy in a positive direction.

Then there’s the question of future inflation. A weak dollar will affect everything from our exports to how much we, as a population, will be able to spend. A recent report showed grocery prices increasing 6.5 percent in March from early January. In the report, Consumer Growth Partners said the increase in food prices was the “sharpest in a generation.” A 25 percent increase in gas prices this year has joined higher food prices, which pulled $18 billion out of the monthly household spending on discretionary items. If the consumer doesn’t spend, the economy goes nowhere.

On top of all this, claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly increased above the key 400,000 mark recently. Like I said at the beginning, times are still tough and because of a number of issues that are not being resolved, the current situation is likely to remain so for quite a long time. Even though the government announced a few years back that the recession officially ended, it’s evident that millions of people remain out of work and that’s a reality for them and their families. In order to fix the problem, people must directly reconnect themselves to the economy but as long as they continue to lose their homes and are unable to find suitable employment, the possibility of that happening is nearly impossible. Not because they don’t want to, but because they just don’t have the disposable income to do so.

I believe that one of the most important qualities that any of us can possess is integrity. Without an honest approach to life and to everyone we come into contact with, our lives are meaningless. Honesty and a sense of duty should be the number one issue in our daily lives and always remember to stand up for what you believe is the right thing, even if it’s not the popular thing to do.

You must always place other’s needs ahead of your own with a sense of unselfishness. Make certain that you, as the manager; never take advantage of any situation because you’re in charge. Never take credit for something that a subordinate has accomplished but always give credit where the credit is due. Those you are in charge of leading should never take a back seat based on your status as a manager/supervisor. As the Marine Corps states, be considerate of others.

Make sure that you get up every morning with a fair amount of enthusiasm and share it with the team. This can be translated as a positive attitude that creates a sincere interest in the performance of all your duties. If you show enthusiasm, others will soon do the same in accepting their own challenges within the organization. Smile, be understanding of others, enthusiastic about the job and willing to accept anything that is required of you and the team.

Also be as dependable as you possibly can to yourself and to others. If you are late to work, how can you expect others to make it there on time? Dependability also fosters a degree of trust among the staff members and develops an effort to try and attain the highest standards possible. Being dependable also means standing up for your actions and never making excuses. Get into the habit of successfully accomplishing a task whether you like it or agree with it. If required by the organization, do it to the best of your abilities.

The courage to do what isn’t popular or might be hazardous is something you’ll have to develop. It’s a very personal trait. Any bravery “under fire” (whether on the battlefield or in the boardroom) allows you to stay calm in situations that require you to remain under control. Your moral courage is also something that must never be neglected in order for you to develop the necessary strength to stand up for what is morally right. Your moral courage also forces you to accept fault when you are to blame. This is something that our drill instructor tried to instill in us right from the start by answering with the statement “No excuse, sir” when asked about our involvement in certain situations. Take the responsibility and the blame when required. It’s all about honor and making sure the team is never placed in jeopardy. Admit your mistake and move forward. It is that important.

Endurance is the final trait I want to share with you because it’s an extremely important quality to have, especially in today’s business world. When you feel like quitting, tell yourself to keep going. Understand internally that you have the ability to withstand the pain involved (whether physical, emotional, or financial), and can handle the stress, exhaustion and the hardships you’ll most likely endure.

If you simply decide to quit, then you will have achieved nothing. But if you hang in there and get the job done, even when you don’t think you can travel one step further, you will have succeeded.

Remember, you may be down but you’re certainly not out by a long shot. Time to start the rebuilding process and the sooner the better. The faster you start, the more time you’ll have to put away the cash, the assets, the peace of mind before you really need it. But what to do first?
You might look back and try to remember where you started when you first left home or when you first got married. Chances are you began by putting away what you could in a bank savings account. That is probably a good place to start now.

Recently an economist said that average U.S. household wealth is down almost 20 percent from its pre-recessionary financial crest three years ago. There has been no reduction of U.S. household wealth in the last 50 years that has even come close to touching this loss. Many of those who supposedly know (government officials, economists and the like) are starting to believe that the “Great Recession” has probably seen its worse and investors are beginning to get restless about standing on the sidelines. But, many more are not yet interested in getting back in yet. There are fears that they might run into a second phase of this recession period and take another big hit. And others are getting nervous about the possibility of losing out on something big when things do begin to look clearer economically.

So what should we do? The answer to that question is very personal – it’s your money and that means its entirely your decision. But let me just throw out a few facts that may help you make some very important decisions.

Many people I talk to are ready to jump back into stocks. The negative or positive activity experienced by the stock market is normally guided by the strength or the weakness of the U.S. economy. When our economy begins to expand and the chances of inflation are relatively slim, the stock markets tend to thrive. Today, I don’t think we know the answer to either of those questions because growth and inflationary questions remain persistent today.

I don’t know about you, but I’ve been hearing lots of advertisements about investing in commodities these days, specifically gold. During periods of inflationary pressure, the commodity sector has been where many people go to find a financial refuge. Although gold has been showing some considerable strength, it has also shown itself to be rather stagnant over the last few months – not gain or losing much in the process. The Fed has stated this year that if inflation begins to show itself while our national economy continues to be on the mend, they will pull back some of the liquidity they’ve put out there in order to slow it down. This will indeed have a great impact on commodity pricing.

So where to go? Back to that savings account at the bank that hardly pays anything as far as interest is concerned. Or maybe its time to remain on the sidelines and get involved in CD’s or other interest rate vehicles. While these types of investments aren’t very lucrative, you can be sure of one thing…you’re probably not going to lose in the process either.

Are you in a mood to take a chance or are you in preservation mode right now? Remember the old adage – “You pay your money and you take your chances.” But the chances we are experiencing today are not like anything this generation has ever seen. Getting back in or staying on the sidelines is a decision that each one of us must make independently and not by the flipping of a coin. Get educated and make sure the decision you ultimately make is one you can personally live whether your investments go up or whether they go down.

The global economic situation turned from bad to worse during the past 18 months and it probably won’t get much better in the near term. You can be assured that unless you keep the proper attitude, plan for any possible financial downturn and create a solid set of goals for the coming year, you will be in a weaker position. I’ve seen some prognostications across the board that the typical American consumer will have to “tighten up the belt” just a little more in the coming months. Some retailers are saying that even if the customer has the wherewithal to pay for items, the chances of finding them might be hindered because many retailers are hesitant about holding a large inventory.

One thing is certain. It’s the American (and global) consumer that will ultimately bring us back to financial solvency but not until they are confident enough to start spending their hard earned dollars (yen, euro, or pounds) again. The current global economic downturn has really exposed the financial “underbelly” of many personal households. No family ever handles a job loss well, but the ones with enough cash on-hand and a well thought out emergency plan will be able to handle it better than ones that don’t have them. The strong economy of the past, fed by a number of factors including cheap credit, concealed the damaging decisions that many people made in their personal financial lives.

So, let’s say the economy begins to improve this year; you can be sure that the recovery process will take many more years to come. Let’s remember that there are 15 to 20 million Americans out of work and that number doesn’t seem to be getting any smaller as job openings haven’t increased either. The paradigm of how the consumer spends has definitely changed and isn’t likely to change back to the way it was before. Today the American consumer base is either trying to pay off their debt or, more likely, allowing their accounts to default because they can no longer afford to pay the bills without employment.

America’s small business has the biggest challenge ahead of them. It is small business that keeps most of America employed but in the current situation and under the current set of rules, expanding the workforce just isn’t very likely. Through all this, if your small business is still breathing (even if only shallow), start the new year by double checking your business plan and see if it’s still valid in today’s economic reality; some changes just might be necessary. This can be a great time for you to use your networking community to find the support and information you need to make the difference between success and failure; you might even consider a strategic partnership. People and business everywhere are trying to find better ways to stay afloat and your business just may be their answer. They need to know you’re there and advertising your service or product has never been more essential. If they don’t know you’re there then they won’t be able to find or use your business or service. That will certainly hurt your bottom line.

I am very optimistic about our country and the ability of its people to find solutions. Americans do their best in times of crisis and I see the nation finding the answers that will ultimately turn this situation around to the positive. It may take some time, but we can never give up or give in. What can you do? Get up every morning, become dedicated to your plan and never allow the situation to get the best of you. This will turn around eventually but it’s going to take some hard work and determination to create a solid economic base. Don’t be mislead, it’s going to take a lot of hard work but the sooner we start rebuilding our personal and professional economic foundations, the faster our lives will start to improve. Let’s get to work.

In a recent poll of more than 1,000 Americans conducted by CNN/Opinion Research Corporation, 84% of those surveyed believe that the U.S. economy is still very much in recession which is s slight improvement from September’s poll where 87% felt the recession was still alive and well. This kind of public sentiment, while heartfelt, seems to be just the opposite of what the nation’s economists are telling us; that the “Great Recession” has finally come to an end.

Economists are in almost universal agreement that, according to the numbers, the worst of the economic slowdown appears to be behind us. According to the latest reading on gross domestic product, the U.S. economy grew at a 2.8% annual rate in the three months ending in September, the broadest measure of the nation’s economic activity. And while job losses continue, the number of jobs lost in November fell to 11,000, the smallest amount of any month since the start of 2008, while the unemployment rate fell to 10% from 10.2%. Plus a recent survey of top economists from the National Association of Business Economists found 81% agreed that the recession was over.

So, why the discrepancies?

While there have been some economic improvements, economists believe that it will take a long time, perhaps even years to dig out of the economic upheaval that this recession caused. Because the improvements have been slight, the average American family just doesn’t feel it yet. One economist put it this way, “The hole is a very big hole this time and the recovery is very modest so it might take us a number of years to get out of the hole.” And this startling result also came to the surface recently. While economists are getting more optimistic, the consuming public appears to be getting even more pessimistic. The same poll found that only “15% believe the economy is starting to recover from the problems it faced in the past year or so, down from 17% who saw improvement in the previous poll in September.” And the public also believes that things will get worse before it gets better.

This is something that the retail industry didn’t want to hear during the biggest shopping period of the year. Holiday shopping so far has been less than stellar. A recent Christmas Retail Survey released during the first week of December by America’s Research Group (ARG) and UBS showed that sales were weaker this year than in 2008. Of those consumers not shopping, an overwhelming number, 95.1%, said they will wait until just before Christmas (some even said they’d wait until December 24) to get more items on sale.

And further evidence of a shaky American consumer base, the most recent Consumer Credit report released by the Federal Reserve showed that Americans borrowed less for a record ninth straight month in October, another sign that consumer spending will remain weak and make it more difficult for the economy to produce a sustained rebound. And unless the U.S. consumer develops some confidence in the nation’s economic foundation, the chances for recovery are probably negligible.

We are all hoping for a more profitable 2010, and the last thing I want to be is pessimistic (it just goes against my nature). But until our national housing and mortgage industry is repaired, until the banks start loaning money again, until jobs start picking up, until the confidence of the American consumer is bolstered by a feeling that our economy is, in fact, returning to normal, this country could continue to experience the same economic doldrums in the New Year. Let’s hope the effects of the technical economic improvements economists are seeing today will soon show themselves fundamentally to those of us who live on Main Street USA.

We can only learn from our mistakes after we admit that a mistake actually occurred. We all must realize that without experiencing mistakes in our lives, we would never learn or grow. So, when you look at it from that point of view, our personal blunders can actually turn out to be positive events. Think about how each of us expands our horizons. We don’t just gobble down every fact we can about a subject and instantly become experts. We practice and develop an understanding of the topic; then when we then make our mistakes we simply adjust our methods to develop positive solutions.

It makes no difference what the topic is; when we first learned to walk, all of us probably fell down more than we stood on our own two feet. When we first started learning Algebra equations, we no doubt got more wrong that right. So, when you look at it that way, the mistakes you’ve made along the way have actually helped you become the success you and your business are today. That’s not to say that you should strive to make errors in life, but when you do, you should be prepared to quickly examine them carefully and learn that by changing the way you accomplish any particular task will probably lead you to certain success.

While I’m on the topic of success, one thing that we all need to be very mindful of is the fear of success. So many people today just won’t allow themselves to succeed and when failure does occur (and it will) they interpret that as a sign of weakness and create an internal obstacle that keeps them from experiencing accomplishment. Always remember that it’s the difficult times that create the opportunities in our lives. The more mistakes you make, the more opportunities for you to learn and the more you learn, the more proficient and confident you’ll be in your given vocation.

Mistakes will occur now and then, but you must never allow them to hold you back from attaining your personal goals. Maintain an optimistic approach to life and keep pushing your situation forward; this is how noble ideas are shaped. If you become withdrawn and lose confidence because you made an error, you place an internal roadblock between you and any opportunity that might make itself available. On the other hand, with the proper attitude, your mistakes can become the very source of all future achievements in your life.

I’m sure that we all made a lot of mistakes this year and I’m also certain that we’ll all be making a few more next year. The most important thing to remember is to become deeply aware of your personal situation from day-to-day and adjust quickly to insure that the damaging results produced as a result of your mistakes are simply not allowed to take hold. Just plan to quickly apply the lessons learned from your mistakes and you can be sure that considerable success won’t be too far behind.

When you think about it, you’ve spent quite a lot of time and money training your staff to accomplish the tasks that have, up to this point, helped to craft a successful business. But today’s environment is forcing business to stockpile cash and other assets, and the fastest and most efficient method of increasing your internal cash flow is by cutting the payroll; or is it? You won’t get an argument that it might be the fastest method but it may not be the most cost effective approach in the long run. While things may be volatile today, bad situations always have a way of improving.

Your staff is not only a trusted group internally but your employees have, no doubt, created positive and productive relationships with your customer base as well. They know your product better than anyone and they also know your customer. That is a very important combination because positive customer relations are more likely to translate into future sales.

While many businesses believe that the customer base is the most important asset of any business they couldn’t be more wrong. Without a highly skilled group of employees there would be no customer base. Each individual has their strong points; most probably have more than one to offer. Develop an understanding of everyone’s string points and assign the right person for the right job. Your staff comes in everyday and deals positively with your customers; they keep the books on track, handle the new orders or answer the phones. They do hundreds of other things that can’t even be quantified; they do their jobs so well that you never seem to have a problem. Things run like clockwork because your staff holds it all together.

Don’t get me wrong, there are times when things haven’t run as smoothly as I’d like but that’s why management exists. Sometimes management has a “bad hire” and that can cause quite a few problems; especially to a small business. Those issues must be dealt with quickly but you should know who your “core” employees are; you know who can be counted on to come in at night or on a weekend, if needed, without complaint. You know who is always there to help bolster his or her fellow employees when they have a tough day. You know who the sales person is that never makes excuses but keeps the bottom line solvent. You can’t lose these people; they have a vast amount of corporate memory and that helps to run your business. But more importantly they have a work ethic that is difficult to find these days. You know who is loyal to the company and you also know who is only there to collect a pay check. There is a big difference.

As I said earlier, the economic slump we currently find ourselves in will pass; they always do. When it does, you will want to be in a position to hit the ground running. So, if at all possible, try saving the cash flow by cutting programs before you are forced to cut people. A well-qualified and loyal group of employees is the most valuable asset of any business. It’s the people who control a business – not the other way around. If you have a well-trained and professional staff you must try to hold on to them through the use of any retention programs you have at your disposal. During the challenging times, a feeling of sincere camaraderie will help your business escape the next tight spot the company encounters. Your people are your most important asset.

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Many businesses have collapsed under the stress of this fragile economy; some are still alive but running on the fumes of what they were able to scrape together soon after the recession hit them. Like I said, it’s been a tough year but it is not impossible to overcome. Now it’s time to rebuild our personal and professional lives.

As we enter the holiday season, I see the effects of this economic downturn hit yet again. Corporate CEOs and HR managers have had to do what was in the best interest of their companies – normally that means trimming the employee roster – at least for the time being. We’ve all had to determine where costs can be cut to generate needed cash flow so American companies can stay “open for business” and start to mend our damaged economy.

The same goes for families across the U.S. trying to find their “new” paths to personal financial freedom. Many of you were doing everything correctly and thought you had it made, only to discover that traditional methods of investing just didn’t work anymore and established family traditions had to be cut or done away with all together.

I’ve heard more and more people say that this year’s holiday season will be different – this year there won’t be as many presents given to as many people as there have in the past. Charitable organizations are already feeling the pinch because there are fewer donations coming in this year than in previous years. For many charities, the recession has delivered a double blow. There have been sharp drops in donations tied to increasing demand for their services in these difficult economic times.

Maybe it’s time for us all to start cutting back and simplify our lives. Perhaps we all should cut back a bit and use the extra time and money to get closer to our family and friends. Read more to your kids and grandchildren, and get interested in what your spouse is working on in the kitchen or out in the garage. Invite your friends over to play a board game – these are all things that will allow us to reconnect with people; something that is probably long overdue.

Like “Grandpa’s Great Depression,” we must now find new ways of doing things; changing our lives is not an option anymore. Prior to 2009, Americans were not savers – today more and more of us are starting to put money away for that proverbial “rainy day.” American business now understands that their consumer base has changed their spending habits and has had to get creative to keep things moving forward. This is all positive. These are all things that we should have been doing all along. Maybe if we had done so, the economic situation would not have hit us all so hard.

So this year, instead of indulging ourselves in a rich holiday season, maybe we should focus on what we have remaining in our lives. We need to center on giving thanks for the food and the time we can share with our family and friends, and celebrate the things that we believe in; commemorate the holiday traditions that make our lives meaningful. And one more thing, don’t forget to spend a little quiet time with yourself this holiday season, reflecting on the past year and looking toward the future with optimism.

Happy holidays,

James Dicks

The financial experts always say you should have six months worth of salary set aside as a buffer but putting that kind of nest egg together is sometimes easier said than done. So look at the problem with a different perspective. Create a budget of all your “necessary” monthly expenditures; and by necessary I don’t mean that subscription to HBO or the two dinners a week you eat at your favorite nightspot. I mean really take your personal budget down to the bone and then figure your monthly expenses. My grandfather used to ask me, “Do you want it or do you need it?” That’s the kind of gauge you have to use in this kind of situation. I think you’ll be surprised at just how little you can actually live on each month when you compare it to what you’re spending today just by eliminating all the extras you spend every month.

If you have credit cards with a balance, you should call the bank and see if they will give you a better deal on the interest rate. This has become a very competitive business and if you ask them to lower your rate, they just might do so. One thing is certain – if you don’t ask them they will never lower your rate.

Make sure you have all your documents available and ready should you need them. This should be part of your normal routine but most of us don’t get things in order until someone actually asks us to present a copy of something. Then we madly start looking through what we thought was an organized system only to find the document we are looking for isn’t there. So, get your paperwork together; things like bank statements, past year(s) tax returns, passports, and insurance documents. You might even consider putting these important documents in a fireproof box that can be grabbed and taken with you in case of emergencies. And consider putting a stash of cash in the box too…just in case.

In anticipation of the worst, you might also consider creating a secondary source of income, whether it’s starting your own home-based business or working part time for someone else. If you have extra income coming in prior to an emergency situation, you’ll be better prepared when or if something does actually happen. Maybe you have a talent or a hobby that you can use to create an extra income source. What about a course you can take to learn a new skill? There are a number of things you can do to generate extra cash flow; start investigating them before you need to.

Finally, one of the greatest things you can do for yourself is to keep moving forward, with a smile on your face and your head held high. Get comfortable in developing your networking skills because in today’s world, this is a requirement. Don’t fall into the “out of sight, out of mind” syndrome but rather maintain a solid image and a well-defined approach when engaging people within your area of expertise. Whenever possible make connections with others who may be able to help you. Go out and keep shaking hands, make phone calls, send emails…never allow yourself to fall by the wayside. Just go where the people are and use all types of media to meet them. This can go a long way in helping you to maintain a solid footing during the rough times and just might assist you in locating that next big career move.

The bottom line – in order to make sure you move through this unpredictable economy successfully you must be well prepared. Arrange your life so that when (or if) something unexpected should happen, you’ll be ready for it while you smoothly “sail through” to your next big opportunity.

But there are a few things that you can do to help the situation while the years ahead try to mend the financial damage that we’ve experienced recently. The first thing, and probably the most important, is not to ignore your current situation. Listen, I know that many of you have not been checking out your banking or investment statements lately because you just don’t want to see that bottom line figure. The fact remains, unless you know what that figure is, you won’t know where you’ll need to start the repair or how aggressive you’ll have to be to fix the problem. So, stop hiding and take a look. You might not like what you see but at least you’ll know where you stand and that will be the beginning of “fixing what has been broken.”

If you haven’t done so already, find an accountant. There have been so many changes to the tax laws in the past year and even the professionals are overly challenged when trying to keep up with the latest tax modifications. Many of you have started your own businesses this past year and if you try to mix that with your personal taxes, well, you could be in for an ordeal that might lead to errors in your final tax figures. So, let someone who knows how to handle the situation do it for you. Sure, it’s going to cost you a few dollars but in the end you’ll be more at ease and content that you did it the right way and, believe me, that will be well worth a few extra dollars.

In the computer age, you can automate many of your financial responsibilities that in the past you would normally worry about. Things like automatic bill pay through your bank’s website or payroll deductions to your 401(k) plan or savings accounts can do much to take some of the pressure off. You can also have your utility companies or a personal credit card simply debit your account on a monthly basis and you won’t ever have to worry about late fees. But even better than that, since you won’t have to actually sit down and pay the bills, you’ll have a lot of extra time to do the things you really want to do.

As we approach 2010, use some of your extra time to sit down and write your goals for the New Year. What did you want to accomplish this year that you didn’t? What would you like to achieve next year? Maybe it’s that vacation you’ve always wanted to take to Paris or finally finishing your education; whatever your goals are, just make sure you write them down and post them someplace. Ask yourself where you see yourself in five years. Then, prioritize those goals to figure out a way to make them happen. Once you’ve set your personal goals, make sure you stay focused and remain on course to complete them successfully. Constantly review and update your list of goals and modify them to reflect any life changes, experiences or priorities. If you want to make something happen you must set and manage your goals. Make that a priority this year.

If you are dedicated to creating a booming year ahead, you must make sure that you look at everything with a new point of view. If you’ve been doing things in a certain manner that hasn’t really been working out for you, the only way to change the outcome is by changing how you deal with the problem. Make something happen in the coming year by producing a positive environment that will allow you to realize the success you are striving to achieve.